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Dubai Residential Prices per Sq Ft · 2002 — 2026

24 years of cycles, shocks and recoveries — now interactive.

Two decades of cycles, charted in one view.

BOOM CYCLE 1GFC CRASHRECOVERYOVERSUPPLY CORRECTIONCURRENT SUPERCYCLEToday05001,0001,5002,000/ SQ FT200220042006200820102012201420162018202020222024202620282030Freehold lawRERA formed2008 Peak · GFCDubai World debt crisisGFC LowExpo 2020 bid won2014 PeakOil price crashVAT introducedCOVID-19 lowExpo opensRU–UA capital flightIran conflictQ1 20262,1262030 PROJECTION
Boom Cycle 1
GFC Crash
Recovery
Oversupply Correction
Current Supercycle
Historical
Your Forecast (to 2030)

Test the past. Stress-test the future.

Time-Travel Calculator

Backward Look

What would the same capital be worth today, had it entered the market at any point in the last 24 years?

Capital Deployed
Entry Year2011
2002 · Freehold Era2025 · Last year
Today's Value (Q1 2026)
11,726,667
Total Return
+135%
Annualised (CAGR)
+5.7%
Worst Drawdown Held
-13%

Scenario Simulator

2026 → 2030

Adjust the four forces shaping Dubai's next five years. The dashed line on the chart updates live.

Supply Pipeline PressureModerate
ConstrainedHeavy oversupply
Global Capital InflowsSteady
OutflowFlight-to-safety
Global Interest RatesNeutral
Cutting cycleHiking cycle
Regional Energy & GDPStable
Oil weakOil + GCC boom
Implied 2030 Price / Sq Ft
2,126
Annualised Growth
+4.8%

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Methodology: Series tracks premium freehold residential averages — anchored to published peaks and troughs from DLD, ValuStrat, CBRE, Property Monitor, Primal Alliance and Engel & Völkers. Pre-2008 figures are estimates; 2012–2026 verified from transaction data. Q3 2025 cross-checks against Property Monitor at ~Dh 1,625/sqft. Forecast model: Smooth-growth mode applies weighted impacts from four levers with mean-reversion. "2008 Shock Replay" overrides this with the actual 2008–2012 year-on-year crash pattern applied forward from Q1 2026. Outputs are directional, for discussion — not investment advice.